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Transaction Comparables

A precedent transaction analysis using semiconductor deals including Xilinx, Tower Semiconductor, Maxim Integrated, and Cypress.

Mean LTM EV/Sales

5.67x

Precedent transaction set

Mean LTM EV/EBITDA

15.53x

Precedent transaction set

Mean LTM EBITDA price

$57.47

Nvidia implied share price

Download Excel File

Written Analysis

A precedent transaction analysis using semiconductor deals including Xilinx, Tower Semiconductor, Maxim Integrated, and Cypress.

  1. 1

    Built a semiconductor precedent set.

    The workbook analyzes AMD/Xilinx, Intel/Tower Semiconductor, Analog Devices/Maxim Integrated, and Infineon/Cypress. It captures consideration mix, status, enterprise value, revenue, EBITDA, EBIT, net income, and deal premiums.

  2. 2

    Translated deal multiples into Nvidia value.

    The transaction set produces mean multiples of 5.67x LTM EV/Sales, 15.53x LTM EV/EBITDA, and 23.15x LTM P/E. Applying those to Nvidia implies share prices around $60.48, $57.47, and $66.45 respectively.

  3. 3

    Proved precedents do not support Nvidia's market premium.

    Even the high precedent cases produce implied prices far below Nvidia's modeled market price, with the high 2-year forward P/E case reaching about $303.48. The analysis shows that strategic semiconductor deal history does not explain Nvidia's trading valuation by itself.

Brando Pakelbrando.pakel@gmail.com